Useless Allies, Part II: The Difference Between “Can’t” and “Won’t”

I’ve posted before about what ”helpful” allies we have, but the Germans are at it again.  Ahead of Barack Obama’s visit to Berlin, the German Social Democrat Party (SPD) cautioned him against calling for greater German participation in Afghanistan.

“Obama should only ask of us what we are able to deliver,” Niels Annen — a member of Germany’s federal parliament, with the left wing of the SPD — told SPIEGEL ONLINE Monday. “We won’t increase our number of troops.”

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s cabinet, however, has approved a plan to increase the number of troops from Germany’s armed forces in Afghanistan by 1,000 to 4,500 soldiers. All troop deployments of the Bundeswehr require a mandate from the German parliament, which is expected to consider the issue in the autumn. And SPD party chief Kurt Beck made clear over the weekend that 4,500 was the ceiling of what could be expected from Germany.

Another party member managed to be even more effete:

The party’s defense policy spokesman, Rainer Arnold, also called on Obama to be cautious. “It’s part of NATO custom not to overburden partners,” he told SPIEGEL ONLINE. “There is no point in issuing demands that the partners cannot fulfil.”

Germany can only be expected to produce a maximum of 4500 troops from its large professional military and ranks of conscripts??  I find that hard to believe, but the interchangeable use of “can’t” and “won’t” is telling.  I suspect they “can’t” because they “won’t.”  I just wish they’d be forthright about it.

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    Sekitar 4-8 taon lalu, saya punya teman menjual barang kongsian kepada seorang penipu.

    Tapi barangnya tidak dibayar.

    Penipu tersebut menggunakan nama Yudi Kurniawan (mungkin bukan nama asli, maaf kalo ada yang namanya sama).
    [img]http://img714.imageshack.us/img714/3682/yudi021.jpg[/img]

    Ternyata sudah banyak orang yang menjadi korban. Mereka juga menjual barang dengan kongsian dan tidak dibayar.

    Kerugian teman saya sekitar 35 juta. Teman dari teman saya juga rugi sekitar 30 juta.

    Lalu kita dikirimi cek. Tapi cek itu ada tanggal mundurnya. Sudah gitu ceknya bukan atas nama dia.

    Sesudah itu tilpon tidak dijawab kembali.

    Ada yang memberi info kalo salah satu korbannya mengambil barang yang memang tidak dibayar. Eh, korbannya malah yang ditangkep polisi. Katanya mencuri. Padahal itu kan barang dia. Semua juga udah tau ini orang nipu nggak bakal bayar.

    Saya dapat kabar dari korban lain kalo si Yudi Kurniawan ini ternyata memang sengaja menjual barang jauh dibawah harga pasar lalu emang nggak bayar. Dia nggak rencana bayar karena dia tahu dia tinggal nyogok polisi biar nggak di penajar.

    Jadi modus operandinya kemungkinan besar begini (bisa jadi nggak persis, tapi kira kira):

    1. Bilang kalau barang sudah ada yang mau beli dengan harga lebih tinggi (padahal tidak).
    2. Korban kirim bayar. Yudi baru cari calon pembeli yang mau beli dengan harga murah.
    3. Lalu tentu saja korban tidak dibayar. Uang dipakai untuk bayar pengacara/polisi (atau siapalah) biar nggak dipenjara.

    Lalu teman saya iseng. Kita minta orang lain untuk tilpon Yudi. Siapa tau si Yudi emang lagi bangkrut lalu nggak bisa bayar. Kan kasian kalo diteken terus? Eh malah ditawarin lagi bisnis dengan modus operandi yang sama. Cuman kali ini tentu saja kita udah tau dia bakal nipu.

    Karena curiga ada yang tidak beres, teman saya pun pergi ke Bali untuk menagih hutang.

    Teman saya habis 6 juta lagi buat pergi ke Bali mengusut masalah ini. Kita pake teman kita polisi preman. Di depan polisi preman itu dia ngaku kalo emang dia udah nggak bakal bayar sebelum order. Dia sengaja nggak jawab tilpon karena nggak mau bayar.

    Tau tau si Yudinya malah kabur. Katanya mau minjem duit buat bayar. Begitu teman saya balik ke Jakarta, eh dia udah ada lagi di rumahnya.

    Jadi waktu diadukan ke kantor polisi nggak pernah teman saya dan Yudi di satu ruangan bersama polisi.

    Padahal kalo dia betul nggak nipu dan niat baik, kan dia bisa ngomong baik baik di depan polisi kenyapa dia nggak bayar utang dan itu bukan penipuan. Misalnya ada kecelakaan, dst.

    Akhirnya karena nggak ada teman saya di kantor polisi, si Yudi bisa meyakinkan polisi kalo kasusnya bukan penipuan tapi sekedar utang nggak bisa bayar (perdata). Padahal, kalo orang udah ada yang mau beli barang dengan harga lebih tinggi, bisnis gimana bisa rugi coba, kecuali kalo ada penipuan atau kecelakaan yang tidak diduga sebelumnya.

    Orang yang nulis cek nggak jelas. Katanya dia ditipu juga ama si Yudi.

    Temen saya niat baik tungguin nggak balik balik. Akhirnya kita deal ama polisi. Yang penting ini orang masuk penjara. Barang kita masih sisa ditempatnya Yudi. Ya sono deh barangnya kita bagi dua ama polisi. Tapi polisi bilang kalo ini barang belum bisa disita. Praduga nggak bersalah lah.

    Begitu balik ke Jakarta si Yudinya udah ada lagi. Langsung di ciduk ama Kasad. Begitu sore statusnya jadi wajib lapor. Si Yudi itu bohong ama Kasad. Dia sengaja nggak mau dipertemukan dengan saksi korban di depan polisi. Tapi ngakunya cari duit. Padahal kita udah bilang tegas tidak mau damai kecuali semua dibayar lunas. Semua dibayar lunas pun kita nggak mau damai karena sudah rugi jutaan rupiah buat datang ke bali. Tapi kalo dibayar lunas ya kita nggak ada alasan lagi buat nuntut terus dong. Toh nggak mungkin ini.

    Bahkan ada pengusaha terkenal di Bali rugi 300 juta. Kebetulan pengusaha itu punya koneksi ke polisi yang pangkatnya lebih tinggi lagi. Akhirnya si Yudi di adili dan dipenjara.

    Nah ini yang aneh. Jaksa teman pengusaha yang dirugikan 300 juta itu mau menuntut Yudi dengan pasal kriminal penipuan berpola. Tapi polisi malah bilang “tidak ada korban lain”

    Memang sebagian besar korban menerima sebagian dari uang mereka. Ini merubah status dari perdata ke pidana. Jadi bukannya nggak ada korban lain, tapi technically bukan pidana.

    Tapi teman saya sudah menolak dengan tegas kesepakatan itu. Teman saya tidak mau damai kok. Paling tidak ada 1 kasus penipuan si Yudi ini yang seharusnya tetap pidana.

    Langsung saya bilang ke orang itu kalo korban lain banyak. Teman saya salah satunya. Polisi bilang sudah damai. Padahal BELUM dan TIDAK akan pernah.

    Kita diberi tahu apabila kita mau menerima sebagian kecil saja dari pembayaran, kasusnya berubah jadi perdata. Jadi dia merugikan kita 35 juta, lalu kita ditawarkan terima 8 juta misalnya. Karena dendam kita tidak memilih untuk berdamai sedikitpun. Demi keadilan kita ingin sampah ini dipenjara selama mungkin.

    Akhirnya Yudi dipenjara karena kasus yang 300 juta itu. Kasus kasus lain nggak effek semua.

    Tau nggak berapa bulan? Cuman 1 setengah taon. Padahal dia pasti udah ngabisin duit orang 400 juta sampe 1 miliar.

    Tukang becak ngayuh becak bertaon taon nggak jadi 300 juta. Malah becaknya dirampas ama polisi dijadikan rumpon.

    Cewek jalan malem malem di razia. Joki three in one ditangkepin. Seat belt diurusin. Tapi begitu orang nipu, polisi kok lamban banget ya?

    Kalo ama tukang becak, pornography, wanita pemijat, yang mau sama mau, kok hukum bisa kejem banget? Kok begitu korbannya ada seperti kasus penipuan gini malah susah banget masukin orang kepenjara.

    Coba kalo ada orang ke panti pijat. Apa itu orang mau lapor polisi kalo dia “korban” pemijatan plus plus? Tapi ini kasus penipuan, korbannya sampe terbang kebali kok nggak digubris?

    Tapi ada kabar gembira. Saya barusan tilpon polisi. Polisi bilang kalo kasus temen saya bisa dibuka lagi. Katanya si Yudi akan dipenjara lebih lama kalo kasusnya pisah pisah. Bagus deh. Saya gembira sekali. Kita lihat saja nanti?

    Memang susah disalain kalo polisi nggak mau nangkep maling. Saya punya temen polisi nembakin maling di kepala sampe puluhan. Bukannya dia jadi pahlawan nasional tapi malah dipenjara karena bunuh orang kebanyakan.

    Meskipun teman saya sudah bisa menerima kehilangan uang 35 juta. Toh duit tinggal cari lagi. Kita tetap tidak bisa menerima orang jahat untung 35 juta karena kita.

    Terus terang, saya berharap kalo sisa barang yang teman saya punya itu disita saja oleh polisi dan uangnya buat polisi yang memenjarakan Yudi. Saya lebih mending gitu dari pada uangnya dinikmati oleh orang yang menipu teman saya.

    Pernah suatu waktu saya ke Bali. Saya lihat ada spanduk yang bilang kalo musuh masyarakat yang terbesar itu pelacur, narkoba, dan judi. Saya agak bingung. Soalnya taon sebelumnya Bali di bom. Kok terrorist nggak termasuk “musuh masyarakat” yang terbesar ya? Begitu saya pulang, eh Bali di Bom lagi. Abis mereka bukannya konsentrasi membantai terrorist malah nangkepin orang adu ayam. Daerah lain di Indo malah lebih gawat lagi.

    Kalo negara kita sibuk ngurusin bisnis bisnis yang korbannya nggak ada, ya yang korbannya ada seperti terorist dan penipu gini jadi malah nggak dihukum. Ya tambah banyak deh kejadian.

    Coba, suku bunga di Amerikan sekarang cuman .3% setaon. Kalo aja bangsa kita bisa dipercaya, pasti banyak dari uang tersebut sudah diinvestasikan di negara ini. Semua orang punya modal dagang, semua untung. Investor untung kita untung. Negara maju.

    Tapi suku bunga di Indo tetap saja tinggi. Minjem duit buat modal susah. Kenyapa? Karena resiko penipuan tinggi. Kenyapa tinggi? Karena orang orang seperti Yudi nggak dipenjara. Itu kenyapa negara kita terus saja tertinggal dibanding Malaysia dan Singapore (yang melegalkan judi by the way).

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  527. If the underlying share price moved disastrously against you overnight, for example, you might lose the whole of your investment if you had bought the share. However, if you had placed a bet on the share and you had imposed a guaranteed stop-loss limit, you would limit your loss to a predetermined amount. A stop-loss is exactly what it is called - a limit to the amount you might lose. On the other hand, there is no limit to the amount you might win. Financial spread betting provides a simple, tax-free* way to profit from rising and falling prices on a range of different markets. As a world leader in spread betting for 35 years, IG Index is the UK’s largest and longest running financial spread betting company. With IG Index you can take positions on forex pairs, global stock indices, over 7000 shares, commodities, binary bets and more Financial Spread Betting is the most efficient leverage tool for traders, in the financial markets. Traders have the opportunity to trade with no real ownership in the market. Explore the Financial Spread Betting markets and learn how to trade successfully.As current or future investors you are well aware of the fact that in order to trade in the financial market you need to own or be a part of it as far as investment of money goes. With Financial Spread Betting the story is different.This is your chance to get involved in the stock market or in any other financial market with a value such as gas, oil gold and so on, without actually being invested. This is not only convenient financially but also requires less effort as far as bureaucracy goes.So what is Financial Spread Betting anyway?Financial Spread betting enables the trader to lay an over / under bet with the ability to minimize the risks and optimize the profits by ending the bet as soon as it goes the other way around from the bet (stop loss) or getting out while you are ahead.Financial Spread Betting is available for various products including shares, currency exchange, commodities and just about anything with a value.The spread is the difference between the bid and the offer price for example taking the apple stock and placing a bet that it will rise (go long) and it indeed rise, then you will get your bet times the number of points it went up.Financial spread betting is gaining popularity in Europe and mainly in the UK. Even though it existed for years, it is now becoming available online and much like other new trends online, many companies are seeking the opportunity of catching customers by offering lucrative incentive offers such as welcome bonus.

  528. Financial spread betting is a leveraged tool that gives investors the opportunity to trade the financial markets without ever taking physical ownership of the underlying instrument. This means that the trader/investor can speculate in the direction of any financial instrument, whether it is specific shares, currencies, commodities or indices without ever owning them. In the financial markets there are standard contract sizes. For example for the FTSE 100 index contract the standard market size is £10. With financial spread betting the investor nominates his own stake size, for example £2 per point. The bet is settled as the difference between the purchase and the sell price.Financial Spreads is appealing to ever greater numbers of investors for several reasons, not least of which is the absence of capital gains tax on profits (unlike conventional share trading, where CGT applies to trading gains in many countries), and the lack of stamp duty on transactions (most interesting in the UK; strictly speaking, the transaction is a bet, rather than an investment - hence the name.) However, by its very nature financial spread betting is more risky than traditional, fixed odds betting, or conventional traditional share trading, where participants are usually a little more protected. If you judge wrong, you are likely to lose a great deal in the absence of a stop loss and any losses made on a spread bet cannot be offset against capital gains on ordinary investments.The costs associated with financial spread betting are included in the spread (the difference between the bid and the offer price). Therefore the wider the spread, the more you pay to trade. So when considering a company to spread bet always compare the spread. The good news about the spreads is that these are generally getting tighter due to increased competition and explosive growth as investors are beginning to realise the advantages of financial spread betting; thus making the system more efficient.

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